Tropical Storm Arlene

Latest observation

Friday, 2 June — 1:00 PM Central Daylight Time (EDT; 17:00 UTC)

NHC Special Advisory #5		1:00 PM CDT (17:00 UTC)
Current location:		26.7°N 86.2°W
Relative location:		270 mi (434 km) W of Fort Myers, Florida
Forward motion:		S (170°) at 4 knots (5 mph)
Maximum winds:	▲	35 knots (40 mph)
Intensity (SSHWS):	▲	Tropical Storm
Minimum pressure:	▼	1002 millibars (29.59 inches)

Official forecast

Friday, 2 June — 1:00 PM CDT (17:00 UTC) NHC Advisory #5

Hour	Date	Time		Intensity		Winds		Lat	Long
	-	UTC	EST	Saffir-Simpson		knots	mph	°N	°W
00	2 Jun	18:00	5PM Fri	Tropical Storm		35	40	26.7	86.2
12	3 Jun	00:00	2AM Sat	Tropical Depression	▲	30	35	25.6	86.2
24	3 Jun	12:00	2PM Sat	Tropical Depression		25	30	24.2	85.8
36	4 Jun	00:00	2AM Sun	Remnant Low		25	30	23.2	84.9
48	4 Jun	12:00	2PM Sun	Dissipated

Official information

National Hurricane Center

Advisories

• Public advisory
  
• Forecast advisory
  
• Forecast discussion
  

Graphics

• Forecast graphic

Weather Prediction Center

For information regarding impacts from tropical and non-tropical storm systems, including rainfall amounts and excessive rainfall alerts.

• WPC homepage
  
• Surface analysis
  
• Fronts forecast
  
• Excessive rainfall
  
• Quantitative precipitation forecast
  

National Weather Service

For information regarding impacts to your local information, provided by meteorologists working in your area of the country.

• NWS Tampa Forecast discussion
  
• NWS Key West Forecast discussion
  
• NWS Miami Forecast discussion
  
• NWS Melbourne Forecast discussion
  
• NWS Jacksonville Forecast discussion
  

Aircraft reconnaissance

National Hurricane Center

• Aircraft Reconnaissance main page
  
• Plan of the Day (For Today)
  
• Plan of the Day (For Tomorrow)
  

Tropical Tidbits

• Aircraft Reconnaissance data visualization

Radar imagery

National Weather Service

• KTBW – Tampa Bay
  
• KBYX — Key West
  
• KAMX — Miami
  
• KMLB – Melbourne
  

College of DuPage

• Southeastern United States (mosaic)
  
• KTBW — Tampa Bay
  
• KBYX — Key West
  
• KAMX – Miami
  
• KMLB — Melbourne
  

Satellite imagery

Storm-specific imagery

• Tropical Tidbits: Visible / Shortwave Infrared
  
• Tropical Tidbits: Enhanced Infrared
  
• Tropical Tidbits: Enhanced Infrared (Dvorak)
  
• Tropical Tidbits: Water Vapor
  
• CIMSS: Multiple bands
  
• RAMMB: Multiple bands
  
• Navy Research Laboratory: Multiple bands
  

Regional imagery

• Tropical Tidbits: Western Atlantic
  
• CIMSS Real Earth: Western Atlantic
  
• Weathernerds: Western Atlantic
  

Analysis graphics and data

Wind analyses

• NESDIS: Dvorak Fix Bulletins
  
• NESDIS: Dvorak Fix History
  
• NESDIS: Multi-platform Surface Wind Analysis
  
• CIMSS: Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
  
• CIMSS: Tropical Cyclone Intensity Consensus (SATCON)
  
• CIMSS: SATCON Intensity History
  
• EUMETSAT: Advanced Scatterometer Data
  

Sea-surface Temperatures

• NOAA OSPO: Sea Surface Temperature Contour Charts
  
• Tropical Tidbits: Ocean Analysis
  

Model guidance

Storm-specific guidance

• Tropical Tidbits
  
• University of Albany
  
• National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)
  
• Weather Nerds
  

Regional single-model guidance

• Tropical Tidbits: GFS
  
• Tropical Tidbits: ECMWF
  
• Tropical Tidbits: CMC
  
• Tropical Tidbits: ICON
  

Regional ensemble model guidance

• Weathernerds: GEFS (120 hours)
  
• Weathernerds: ECENS (120 hours)
  

Most (if not all) states have what's called the 511 system. This is all publicly facing information that can be helpful in planning a route. It will show active work zones, detours, closed roads, active accidents, etc. It's pretty much like an advanced Waze and actually shows Waze reported events.
-Traffic Speeds
- Incidents
-Roadwork/Maintenace
-Closures
-Weather Incidents
-Special Events
-Waze Reports
-Live Cameras
- Weather Radar
- Weather Alerts
-Weather Forecasts
And more.
All of these things can be good info for when you are planning a road trip, or if you are just curious about what is happening on the roadways around your state.
You can find a list of the states 511 system links here: https://ops.fhwa.dot.gov/511/about511/status/status.htm

​
​
Dan Rubell - Time - Lapse / Key Ab, BPM 125, 6:16, MP3 15.11 Mb, AIFF 66.44 Mb
Datenbahn - Schematic Symbols / Key D, BPM 125, 4:44, MP3 11.43 Mb, AIFF 50.18 Mb
Le Kawumm - Sub Orbital / Key Gm, BPM 125, 6:34, MP3 15.80 Mb, AIFF 69.49 Mb
Luc Canetti - Sun Goes Up / Key Fm, BPM 124, 4:31, MP3 10.90 Mb, AIFF 47.86 Mb
Nils Mannheim & Dan Rubell - Amber Room / Key Cm, BPM 126, 6:46, MP3 16.29 Mb, AIFF 71.63 Mb
Pre Brooklyn - Just Vibing / Key D, BPM 126, 4:38, MP3 11.18 Mb, AIFF 49.11 Mb
Raumlehre - Subset / Key Gm, BPM 125, 6:36, MP3 15.88 Mb, AIFF 69.83 Mb
Riffle Shuffle - Popcorn / Key Gm, BPM 124, 4:47, MP3 11.52 Mb, AIFF 50.59 Mb
Schuerfes - Retouched / Key Gm, BPM 122, 7:21, MP3 17.69 Mb, AIFF 77.79 Mb
Sixteenth Pulse - Chicago Rules / Key Cm, BPM 122, 6:23, MP3 15.36 Mb, AIFF 67.55 Mb
Soul Emphasis - That Tiny Thing / Key Fm, BPM 124, 7:20, MP3 17.65 Mb, AIFF 77.65 Mb
Sphinkter - Retro Attitude / Key Fm, BPM 127, 5:10, MP3 12.46 Mb, AIFF 54.73 Mb
Tec 77 - Transverse Series / Key Fm, BPM 125, 6:13, MP3 14.98 Mb, AIFF 65.85 Mb
The Spectaphiles - Spark Plug / Key Bm, BPM 126, 4:23, MP3 10.58 Mb, AIFF 46.43 Mb
Z Musto - Off - Grid / Key Dm, BPM 125, 4:29, MP3 10.81 Mb, AIFF 47.48 Mb
​
DOWNLOAD - progonlymusic com

Must have been its dopplerganger.

ROUND 8: Spain 🇪🇸

FORMULA 1 AWS GRAN PREMIO DE ESPAÑA 2023
Fri 2 Jun - Sun 4 Jun
Barcelona

Session	UTC
Free Practice 1	Fri 11:30
Free Practice 2	Fri 15:00
Free Practice 3	Sat 10:30
Qualifying	Sat 14:00
Race	Sun 13:00

Click here for start times in your area.

Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya

Length: 4.655 km (2.892 mi)
Distance: 66 laps, 307.104 km (190.825 mi)
Lap record: 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing-Honda, 2021, 1:18.149
2022 pole: 🇲🇨 Charles Leclerc, Ferrari, 1:18.750
2022 fastest lap: 🇲🇽 Sergio Perez, Red Bull Racing-Honda, 1:24.108
2022 winner: 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing-RBPT

Useful links

• F1.com: Race
• Wiki: Race Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya
• Live weather prediction and radar (by Forzonex)

Streaming & Downloads

This is not the appropriate place to request or share streams and downloads. Please do not post information about streams and downloads in this thread. Thank you.

Live timing leaderboard

For those of you who are F1 ACCESS members, you can check the position of the drivers throughout the race on the official live timing leaderboard

Race Discussion

Be sure to check out the Discord as well.

Good causes

• 🇺🇦 Want to support Ukraine? Here's a list of charities.
• 🏳️‍🌈 Support Stonewall to help improve the lives of LGBTQ+ people.

Upcoming events in other racing series

• [Sat 3 Jun, 08:00 UTC]: 2023 Jakarta E-Prix
• [Sun 4 Jun, 08:00 UTC]: 2023 Jakarta E-Prix

"I hear the term 'woke woke woke,'... Half the people can't define it, they don't know what it is." - Disgraced former president Trump taking a shot at Meatball Ron’s favorite boogeyman

Clown To The Wire

We’re all sick of the fucking debt limit. But we’re also less than four days away from a global economic meltdown courtesy of the GOP, so we gotta talk about it. I don’t make the rules.

• On Wednesday night, a bipartisan coalition in the House of Representatives passed the ransom note bill to raise the debt ceiling 314-117. Members on both ends of the political spectrum comprised much of the bill’s opposition. The bill faces possible changes, stiffer competition, and more procedural chokepoints in the Senate, all while lawmakers race against the clock to get it passed before June 5, the date the Treasury has projected the U.S. will run out of borrowing authority. Without that: sorry nana, sorry bond holders in China, not enough money to pay what we owe.
  
• Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said on Thursday that the upper chamber will remain in session until President Biden gets the bill for signature. He urged members of his caucus not to offer amendments, which, if passed, would send the bill back to the House. That plan is already out the window. In some rare productive infighting, Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA) introduced an amendment to the debt-limit bill that would rescind its approval of the controversial Mountain Valley pipeline backed by Fossil-Fuel King Sen. Joe Manchin (W-VA).
  
• The 300-mile pipeline would stretch between northwest West Virginia and southern Virginia, and the delegation of Virginia Democrats in Congress has vocally opposed it from the beginning. Kaine rightly pointed out that the pipeline has nothing to do with the debt limit and had already announced that he would file this amendment earlier in the week. Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Ed Markey (D-MA), our very good boys, both cited the provisions on the pipeline and fossil-fuel development in their statements announcing that they would vote against the bill.
  

It looks like Senate Republicans are gearing up to get amendment-happy as well.

• Under the Biden-McCarthy agreement, non-defense spending will remain mostly flat, while the military will, you guessed it, get a big fat increase. But that simply isn’t enough for the war hawks in the GOP who are very scared that China’s military will overpower America’s. Do they care that 11 million children in the United States live in poverty that could be alleviated by what would amount to a rounding error in the defense budget? They do not! Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) went on Fox News Wednesday night to claim the deal (which again, will increase an already-staggering $886 billion defense budget by 3.3 percent) is “a disaster for the United States military.”
  
• A number of senators want to force votes on amendments to the bill that will retard the process. Sen. Mike Lee (R-UT) says he will agree to an expedited agreement but only if his amendment gets a vote, and he estimated that there would be between 10 and 12 amendments total. That’s…not great, given how ponderous our blubbering senators can be! Nevertheless, most of them seem confident that the bill will pass by Thursday night. Hard-right Senators like Lee, Graham, and Rand Paul (R-KY) have all but promised to gum up the works unless the bill adopts more aggressive spending cuts to all non-defense programs.
  

It’s gonna be a long night. Next week should be fun, too!

Look No Further Than Crooked Media

The Trans community has been under attack by right-wing politicians across the country. But don’t let their noisy stunts fool you. They’re a loud, wrong minority, like John Mayer fans, or people who blame flight attendants for the delay. In reality, there’s never been more support for gay, trans and queer youth than right now, and it’s up to us to make that true, today and every day.
That’s why Vote Save America has launched their Fuck Bans: Leave Queer Kids Alone fund. This Pride month, Crooked is working to help fundraise $50,000 to support groups on the ground in states that are banning care and targeting trans families including organizations like the Transgender Law Center, the Trans Justice Funding Project, and the Trans Youth Equality Foundation. If you’re interested in chipping in, head to https://votesaveamerica.com/fuckbans to donate!
Pissing off some of the GOP’s biggest creeps is just an added bonus.

Under The Radar

In a frightening harbinger of the climate crisis to come, state lawmakers in Arizona have decided to halt housing construction that has already been approved in the Phoenix area, as well prohibit developers from building some new subdivisions, due to the dwindling water supply. Phoenix and its suburbs reside in Maricopa County, which receives more than half of its water supply from groundwater, while the rest comes from rivers, aqueducts, and recycled wastewater. But unlike some of the latter sources, groundwater is a finite resource, and can take thousands of years or longer to replenish. This halt in housing development will increase real-estate prices, and is likely to continue across the American southwest if climate change continues to go unaddressed and the 23-year drought in the region persists. But yeah, give another trillion dollars in federal funding to the military!

What Else?

The Federal Trade Commission disclosed in a Wednesday court filing that a former employee of Amazon’s Ring doorbell-camera unit spied on female customers for months in 2017 using cameras placed in bedrooms and bathrooms. The company will pay a $5.8 million settlement for privacy violations.
The Supreme Court dealt another blow to organized labor on Thursday in a ruling that will make it easier for employers to sue over strikes that cause property destruction. The (yikes) 8-1 decision sided with a Washington state concrete business, which sued the union representing its truck drivers when they were on strike.
President Biden tripped over a sandbag and fell onstage after delivering an address at the Air Force Academy graduation ceremony (but he got right back up!). Surprisingly agile for an octogenarian.
Speaking of the Air Force, a new report shows that it tested a drone enabled by artificial intelligence to destroy specific targets, but when a human operator tried to override the drone’s mission, the A.I. ordered the drone to attack the human operator so the mission could be completed. Hasta la vista, baby?
House Speaker Kevin McCarthy is reportedly planning to give January 6 security footage to far-right conspiracy theorist and avowed election denier Julie Kelly. Man, this guy is a non-stop great-decision machine.
Sen. Tommy Tuberville’s (R-AL) national security adviser has resigned after the Washington Post reported that he was behind the senator's, ahem, controversial strategy of stalling military nominations in an attempt to stop a new DOD policy that helps ensure abortion access for service members.
The stock market ticked up on Thursday as the bill to avert a GOP-imposed global financial crisis advanced through Congress.

Be Smarter

Russian President Vladimir Putin repeatedly threatened to retaliate against the United States if it crossed an ambiguous “red line” of excessive interference in defense of Ukraine. Nevertheless, the White House persisted. Last month, President Biden announced that the United States would help Ukraine obtain F-16 fighter jets, on top of the missiles, rocket launchers, advanced missile defense systems, drones, helicopters, and tanks it has already supplied or helped Kyiv obtain. So why are our national security officials ignoring Putin’s threats? Because of a general consensus since the war began that Putin’s threats have been all hot air. As Maxim Samorukov, a Russia expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, observed, the Kremlin “has devalued its red lines so many times by saying certain things would be unacceptable and then doing nothing when they happen.” Russia’s demonstrated reluctance to retaliate has been the driving force behind Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s decision to encourage the White House and Western allies to do more. But Western officials know that Putin’s hesitancy is not fixed, and could easily change if the war persists. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Mark Milley estimated in a recent interview with Foreign Affairs that Russia has suffered as many as 250,000 casualties since it invaded Ukraine.

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Light At The End Of The Email

Billionaire troll and Twitter CEO Elon Musk is accused of insider trading in a class-action lawsuit, which alleges he intentionally manipulated the price of Dogecoin when he replaced Twitter’s bird logo with the Dogecoin logo, leading to a 30 percent jump in the coin’s price. In a hilarious coincidence, he did that riiigghttt before he sold $124 million worth of the currency.
Nine Democratic governors have sent a letter to leading textbook companies expressing opposition to GOP-demanded changes to textbooks and to warn them that they will be watching for the “inappropriate censor[ship]” of “comprehensive and accurate educational information.”
Happy first day of Pride Month to all of our LGBTQ+ pals out there!

Enjoy

jamie loftus 🌭 on Twitter: "the fancier the hotel… the less free waffle in the morning…"

ROUND 8: Spain 🇪🇸

FORMULA 1 AWS GRAN PREMIO DE ESPAÑA 2023
Fri 2 Jun - Sun 4 Jun
Barcelona

Session	UTC
Free Practice 1	Fri 11:30
Free Practice 2	Fri 15:00
Free Practice 3	Sat 10:30
Qualifying	Sat 14:00
Race	Sun 13:00

Click here for start times in your area.

Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya

Length: 4.655 km (2.892 mi)
Distance: 66 laps, 307.104 km (190.825 mi)
Lap record: 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing-Honda, 2021, 1:18.149
2022 pole: 🇲🇨 Charles Leclerc, Ferrari, 1:18.750
2022 fastest lap: 🇲🇽 Sergio Perez, Red Bull Racing-Honda, 1:24.108
2022 winner: 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing-RBPT

Useful links

• F1.com: Race
• Wiki: Race Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya
• Live weather prediction and radar (by Forzonex)

Streaming & Downloads

This is not the appropriate place to request or share streams and downloads. Please do not post information about streams and downloads in this thread. Thank you.

Live timing leaderboard

For those of you who are F1 ACCESS members, you can check the position of the drivers throughout the race on the official live timing leaderboard

Race Discussion

Be sure to check out the Discord as well.

Good causes

• 🇺🇦 Want to support Ukraine? Here's a list of charities.
• 🏳️‍🌈 Support Stonewall to help improve the lives of LGBTQ+ people.

Upcoming events in other racing series

• [Sat 3 Jun, 08:00 UTC]: 2023 Jakarta E-Prix
• [Sun 4 Jun, 08:00 UTC]: 2023 Jakarta E-Prix

========☢️GROUNDZERO☢️======== The Plague Is Upon Us https://discord.gg/tyQuB774yX
🎮XBOX🎮 😈PVP/SURVIVAL👿 🗺️CHERNARUS [32 Slot]🗺️ 🌄Days- 3hrs ~~ Nights- 45min🌌
GroundZero is a freshly remade console server looking to bring back that classic DAYZ kinda vibe again, with some improvements to map locations and loot so it still feels new and fresh at the same time. We welcome all kinds of different play-styles and players to join so survivors can have all sorts of interactions from friendly to black screens. We do avoid the heatmaps/ npc traders/ base radars/ etc. because its not what DAYZ was all bout in the first place, its all about the journey and the blood, sweat, tears it took to get there. Hope to see you out there survivors Mahalos🤙
SERVER LIST:

 👀 - 1PP 🏃‍♂️ - 5X Stamina 🚗 - 2X Fully Built Cars ⚔️ - 24/7 Raid 🔨 - Build Anywhere 🔫 - Gun Rack Spawns 🌌 - Dark Nights 🏴‍☠️ - Factions 🗺 - Customized Locations ❄️ - Customized Weather 👑 - King Of The Hill Event 👷‍♂️ - Active Staff ⚠️ - Changes Are Prone To Happen ⚠️ - Always Improving 🛠️ - Server Events (W.I.P) 🛠️ - Faction Events W.I.P) 🛠️ - Zombie Hordes (W.I.P) 

========☢️GROUNDZERO☢️======== The Plague Is Upon Us https://discord.gg/tyQuB774yX
🎮XBOX🎮 😈PVP/SURVIVAL👿 🗺️CHERNARUS [32 Slot]🗺️ 🌄Days- 3hrs ~~ Nights- 45min🌌
GroundZero is a freshly remade console server looking to bring back that classic DAYZ kinda vibe again, with some improvements to map locations and loot so it still feels new and fresh at the same time. We welcome all kinds of different play-styles and players to join so survivors can have all sorts of interactions from friendly to black screens. We do avoid the heatmaps/ npc traders/ base radars/ etc. because its not what DAYZ was all bout in the first place, its all about the journey and the blood, sweat, tears it took to get there. Hope to see you out there survivors Mahalos🤙
SERVER LIST:

 👀 - 1PP 🏃‍♂️ - 5X Stamina 🚗 - 2X Fully Built Cars ⚔️ - 24/7 Raid 🔨 - Build Anywhere 🔫 - Gun Rack Spawns 🌌 - Dark Nights 🏴‍☠️ - Factions 🗺 - Customized Locations ❄️ - Customized Weather 👑 - King Of The Hill Event 👷‍♂️ - Active Staff ⚠️ - Changes Are Prone To Happen ⚠️ - Always Improving 🛠️ - Server Events (W.I.P) 🛠️ - Faction Events W.I.P) 🛠️ - Zombie Hordes (W.I.P) 

Here are some meetups that are on the radar, both physical and virtual:

• Last Week, May 27

online

• Sunday, June 4, 9:00a MDT: Thrive, casual discussion on zoom verify

Idaho

• Sunday, June 4, 10:30a MDT: Idaho Falls, casual meetup at Panera Bread at 2820 South 25th Street E. verify
  
• Sunday, June 4, 11:00a MDT: Pocatello, casual meetup, location dependant on weather
  

Oregon

• Sunday, June 4, 10:00a PDT: Portland, casual meetup at Coava Coffee Roasters at 1300 SE Grand Ave

Utah

• Sunday, June 4, 10:00a MDT: Downtown Salt Lake City, Pride Parade.
  
• Sunday, June 4, 10:00a MDT: North Utah County, casual meetup at Harmons at 1750 W Traverse Pkwy in Lehi. Combining AF/Saratoga Springs/Lehi meetups at new location; check link for notes.
  
• Sunday, June 4, 10:00a MDT: Provo, casual meetup near the Starbucks inside of the Marriott Hotel at 101 West 100 North verify
  
• Sunday, June 4, 10:00a MDT: Utah Valley, casual meetup at Vineyard Grove Park 350 N 100 E. in Vineyard. Check link for notes.
  
• Sunday, June 4, 1:00p MDT: Salt Lake Valley, casual meetup at Bingham Junction Park at 1085 River Reserve Court in Midvale.
  
• Sunday, June 4, 1:00p MDT: St. George, casual meetup of Southern Utah Post-Mormon Support Group at Switchpoint Community Resource Center located at 948 N. 1300 W. verify
  
• Sunday, June 4, 2:30p MDT: Davis County, casual meetup at Harmons at 200 Station Pkwy in Farmington. Meet in the cafe upstairs. verify
  

Wyoming

• Saturday, June 3, 10:00a MDT: Rock Springs, casual meetup at Starbucks at 118 Westland Way verify

Upcoming week and Advance Notice:

• Sunday, June 11, 11:00a MDT: "The Good Book Club," virtual meetup for Ex/Post/Nuanced mormons to read and discuss other good books. For details contact HoldOnLucy1. Upcoming book: "Braving the Wilderness: The Quest for True Belonging and the Courage to Stand Alone" by Brene Brown.
  
• Sunday, June 11, noon PDT: Sacramento, casual meetup at Urban Roots at 1322 V Street.
  
• Idaho Falls ...first Sunday
  
• Las Vegas
  
• Salt Lake Valley Religious Transition Group, next meeting: June 11
  
• Salt Lake Valley postmos
  
• Seattle
  

JUNE 2023

Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat
.	.	.	.	1	2	3
4	5	6	7	8	9	10
11	12	13	14	15	16	17
18	19	20	21	22	23	24
25	26	27	28	29	30	.

JULY 2023

Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat
.	.	.	.	.	.	1
2	3	4	5	6	7	8
9	10	11	12	13	14	15
16	17	18	19	20	21	22
23	24	25	26	27	28	29
30	31	.	.	.	.	.

Beginnings of a FAQ about meetups:

• rules for publicizing a meetup on reddit platform
• what happens at these meetups?
• solidified50 gave some general advice for starting a meetup and keeping it going.

Tom Fenimore was interviewed by Josh from TD Cowen today. Here is a synopsis and a bit of my analysis at the bottom.
https://wsw.com/webcast/cowen138/laz2035800
Josh: Volvo, SAIC, Polestar are ramping nearer term. The push back on LiDAR is that it has always been too expensive. How are the OEMs trying to monetize the cost?
Tom: It all comes down to the value you get. The Luminar sensor is around $1000. There are 2 primary benefits. 1) Volvo said they expect to reduce severe collisions by 20% (Luminar thinks that is a conservative estimate). 2) Luminar is the best long-range LiDAR in the industry. It can see 250M, which provides 7 seconds of reaction time, which is needed to achieve a safe stop or take some other maneuvers. This enables "highway autonomy", which is hands off and eyes off. Luminar believes that full Level 5 (hands off, eyes off everywhere) is a very difficult problem to solve. This may only be achieved at end of decade at best. Highway autonomy, however, is achievable. $1000 is not the cheapest device to put on a vehicle, but in order for highway autonomy to be enabled, the car must have a LiDAR that provides 250M of visibility. This will enable the OEM to upsell the consumer to this capability.
Josh: Is the goal for the OEMs to generate subscription revenue for "highway autonomy".
Tom: SAIC R7 and Volvo are marketing the power of the LiDAR, for better safety and highway autonomy. Today, the auto industry is in a big pivot to EVs. These buyers are tech savvy. The LiDAR is a differentiator in this space. LiDAR and it benefits provides a great marketing message for the OEMs in the crowded EV space.
Josh: Talk about your relationship with the compute players: Nvidia, Qualcomm, and Mobileye.
Tom: Some OEMs have their in-house software arms (for example Volvo has Zenseact). Mercedes Benz is using Nvidia to take the lead on certain parts of the software. Luminar is flexible to work with either model. Luminar is designed to work with the compute players. For example, Luminar is on the reference platform (Hyperion) from Nvidia. It doesn't guarantee the OEM will choose Luminar, but it makes it Luminar's business to lose.
Josh: What is the business model for the software platform. You have made more investments than your peers for example in things like pro-active safety and highway autonomy.
Tom: Yes, safety, highway autonomy, and 3D mapping. Luminar believes there will be big opportunities on the software for the medium and long term. In the near term, it is the perception software which is the object identification and object tracking - this is the output of the perception software. Luminar is developing the right way to integrate the LiDAR (pro-active safety) information into the other sensor modalities (camera, radar). They have built a product (they call pro-active safety) to share with the OEMs to show what the art of the possible is. The OEMs are very good at taking camera-based output and developing the algorithms around that. The LiDAR point cloud is a different sensor modality. Luminar is helping the OEMs to integrate that. Ultimately, they want to demonstrate to the OEM what a LiDAR can do when you put it on a vehicle. They are focused on perception software today. Longer term proactive safety, highway autonomy, and 3D mapping will be separate revenue streams.
Josh: What is the goal and status of the insurance angle? It was surprising to hear this at Luminar Day.
Tom: It facilitates the monetization of the safety improvement. If cars crash less, the cost to insure the vehicle will come down. The legacy insurance companies wanted to see years of data until they would value the LiDAR appropriately. Luminar wanted to move faster than this. This is why Luminar took the lead to develop the insurance business.
Josh: How does the partnership with Swiss Re work?
Tom: Luminar recognizes they are not experts in insurance. Swiss Re plays the expert role. Luminar wants to go through the OEM partners to do this together. Many OEMs are looking to build out their own insurance business. Luminar is willing to give the insurance money to the OEM, but of course the OEM will need the LiDAR to make the insurance product work.
Audience Member: Where does the Luminar LiDAR stand with regard to navigating bad weather?
Tom: Bad weather can mean anything from fog, to blizzard, to rain. Luminar operates at a wavelength of 1550nm. Tom talked about many other LiDAR companies operating at 905nm and how that wavelength is limited by the amount of power that can be applied due to eye safety issues. Luminar can put more power through the 1550nm laser to effectively "power through" fog or a blizzard. However, there will be some limitations to this. The other aspect is how to keep the LiDAR clean. Since the Luminar sensor is designed to be placed "high up" on the vehicle it is easier to keep clean vs. a LiDAR sensor that is placed down lower in the bumper.
Josh: How should we look at the competitive landscape with other LiDAR players and also including imaging radar companies?
Tom: 1) Tom does not know how many LiDAR companies will exist 10 years from now. But there will be less than today. There will be a day of reckoning over the next 12 to 18 months for some of the LiDAR companies. Again, there will be less companies 10 years from now, don't know how many, but Luminar will be one of them. 2) It all comes down to what you want the LiDAR to do. It is not the cheapest thing to put on the car ($1000). If an OEM is only focused on an ADAS system today with only incremental improvements he is not sure if buying a LiDAR for that purpose is worth it. Could an imaging radar system provide that kind of incremental benefit, perhaps yes.
Josh: Luminar issued guidance for doubling revenue this year. This was before Volvo announced a delay in the EX90 rollout. How are you able to maintain revenue guidance for this year?
Tom: We built a conservative model. Despite the Volvo delay, we are still planning for increased sensor sales (vs. last year). Their new factory is up and running. Other programs and other customers (not in the automotive space) will also grow. They have healthy NRE revenue. LSI (Components) subsidiary is growing (however the revenue here will actually be for next year vs. this year).
Josh: What are some of the customer assumptions for the doubling of revenue through 2025 and 2026.
Tom: Phase 1: Over next 12 months, Volvo and Polestar will begin shipping and they will continue with SAIC and some other customers that will build up. Phase 2: Mercedes and Nissan will come along in the middle part of the decade. The plan would be to reach a 100,000+ rate sometime next year (driven by the Volvo launch). The million-unit rate would be achieved in 2026 or 2027. Of the million-unit mark over 75% has already been booked. The remainder will be achieved via existing customers by expanding to additional vehicle lines.
Josh: What does "booked today" mean?
Tom: For those in the automotive industry, it means they have been officially awarded the vehicle program, they have an agreement in place with the customer, they have a rough sense of timing. The risk is how many vehicles will the OEM sell. Example: Volvo - Luminar will be on every EX90. What is unknown is how many EX90s will Volvo sell next year. Luminar uses IHS who does industry forecasting to come up with an estimated number. The only elements considered booked with Volvo is the EX90 and EX90 Excellence. All the other models are not considered booked.
Josh: You have provided some margin targets - gross margin positive exiting this year. 35% in 2025. Longer term 65% gross margin.
Tom: ASP will be $1000 (plus or minus) range. The $1000 includes the BOM, the conversion costs, and then some drib and drab costs (like warranty). They use 3rd party partners like Fabrinet and Celestica to manufacture the sensor. They believe the cost a sensor will be $650 (plus or minus) once they get to scale in late 2024 or 2025 timeframe. Longer term, their next generation product (ready in the 2nd half of the decade) they believe they can get the cost down to $350 by bringing down the BOM cost and the conversion cost (i.e. manufacturing cost).
Josh: You have said you have enough capital to reach cash flow breakeven. What assumptions are baked into that? You did a shelf earlier this year.
Tom: The shelf is based upon them getting a lot of calls about M&A opportunities. Many companies are struggling to raise money right now. This would be for opportunistic M&A. They referenced some recent examples: Seagate LiDAR business, Argo Princeton operation, Velodyne/Ouster India operation, and Simple Map as examples). If an acquiree wants cash, they wanted an ability to act nimbly but then have the ability to backfill that cash by selling equity from the shelf. Tom reiterated they have enough cash to get to profitability. Cash burn will come down meaningfully toward the end of the year due to the one-time launch costs they have now.
My analysis

• Tom was very consistent with regard to the messaging; specifically related to the "highway autonomy" and "905nm eye safety" messages. I'll give kudos to him there.
• I personally think they will struggle to reach their double their revenue goal, which I believe is around $80M to $90M this year. But they will probably get close. To me, it's not that big of a deal if they miss, as long as they get reasonably close.
• I also learned a bit about their software strategy. They probably mentioned some of this before, but I didn't pick up on it. They of course are providing perception software, which may or may not be needed depending on the OEM's desire. But they also mentioned their "pro-active safety" and "highway autonomy" software for the future. I equate this to the Microvision "drive-by-wire" project. I call it a project because I am not sure this will even be something the OEMs will want to purchase from the LiDAR vendor. Even Tom alluded to the fact that they want to show the OEMs the "art of the possible". Sumit has referred to the "drive-by-wire" software in a similar manner (at least IMHO). It was interesting that Tom never used the name "Sentinel" to reference their software, which I thought was a bit odd.
• The last thing is about the clarity on what does "booked" mean. Certainly, there has been a lot of discussion about the Luminar (and Innoviz) "Order Book". And as we know, even the SEC is/was concerned about it. But honestly, perhaps this is simply how the automotive industry works. That is, there is no guarantee of revenue until the cars with the LiDAR sensors on them ship. At that point, the revenue is earned. Prior to that, there is no backlog. But the LiDAR vendors want to portray to their investors some sort of picture of future revenue, and the only way they can do that is to make up a new instrument which they call an "Order Book". Clearly, this sort of thing could be an instrument for shadiness or perhaps even fraud. But it might be perfectly legitimate. I just don't know. I've asked before, and I will ask again. Is there anyone here who understands how the automotive industry works and can verify and/or explain how it all works? Actually, it would not surprise me if Microvision came up with some sort of similar mechanism to provide Microvision investors with some sort of picture of the future. Right now, we are patiently waiting for a "Design Win".

The car is about 3 months old and 5000km.
Today while driving slowly in heavy traffic I got this message twice.
Car is advancing slowly using radar cruise then all of a sudden I hear a beep, I see message "radar not available" flash on the screen, cruise is cancelled and car keeps moving, and then a second or so later radar system becomes ready again.
This hasn't happened before while the weather was clear. I know it can happen when it's snowing and the front bumper is covered, blocking the radar, but now it's summer and 35C, clear skies. Car isn't that dirty either.
Is there any known issue with the radar system?

========☢️GROUNDZERO☢️======== “The Plague Is Upon Us” 

https://discord.gg/tyQuB774yX

 🎮XBOX🎮 😈PVP/SURVIVAL👿 🗺️CHERNARUS [32 Slot]🗺️ 🌄Days- 3hrs ~~ Nights- 45min🌌 

GroundZero is a freshly remade console server looking to bring back that classic DAYZ kinda vibe again, with some improvements to map locations,loot, and added server events so it still feels new and fresh at the same time. We welcome all kinds of different play-styles and players to join so survivors can have all sorts of interactions from friendly to black screens. We do avoid the heatmaps/ npc traders/ base radars/ etc. because its not what DAYZ was all bout in the first place, its all about the journey and the blood, sweat, tears it took to get there. Hope to see you out there survivors Mahalos🤙
SERVER LIST:

 👀 - 1PP 🏃‍♂️ - 5X Stamina 🚗 - 2X Fully Built Cars 💰- Vanilla Loot ⚔️ - 24/7 Raid 🔨 - Build Anywhere 🔫 - Gun Rack Spawns 🌌 - Dark Nights 🏴‍☠️ - Factions 🗺 - Customized Locations ❄️ - Customized Weather 👑 - King Of The Hill Event 👷‍♂️ - Active Staff ⚠️ - Changes Are Prone To Happen ⚠️ - Always Improving 🛠 - Chernarus Bunkers (W.I.P) 🛠️ - Server Events (W.I.P) 🛠️ - Faction Events W.I.P) 🛠️ - Zombie Hordes (W.I.P) 

I'm tired of hearing boring old fart professors/teachers talk about how cool something is vs. actually going and doing that things. These are jobs that I'm willing to do so far. I need to choose one more but I'm 100% happy if I were to get any of these.

1. 1C8X3 – Radar, Airfield, & Weather Systems (RAWS)
2. 2P0X1 – Precision Measurement Equipment Technology
3. 2A0X1 – Avionics Test Station & Components
4. 1W0X1 - Weather
5. ???

Any suggestions for the last one? My big thing is learning about science and having the ability to do a job similar, outside the Air Force (unless I go for the 20 yrs). ASVAB: 75 M58 A76 G74 E79

Ever wonder how we can build bigger and taller buildings without relying so heavily on concrete and steel? The answer is cross laminated timber or CLT. This innovative wood product is changing the way we construct mid and high-rise buildings. CLT panels are made of layers of wood boards stacked in alternating directions and glued together. The result is a solid, durable panel that can be used for walls, floors, and roofs.
You’ve probably seen CLT buildings popping up in cities around the world and not even realized it. With CLT, architects and designers now have more flexibility and creative freedom. The material is also environmentally friendly since wood is a renewable resource. CLT produces a smaller carbon footprint and less waste compared to concrete and steel construction.
If you care about sustainable design and green building practices, then CLT is something you should know about. This versatile material has the potential to transform skylines while reducing deforestation. The future of construction is here, and it’s made of wood. Who knew? CLT may seem like a simple idea, but it’s revolutionizing the way we build cities.

CLT Compared to Other Building Materials

Compared to traditional building materials like concrete and steel, cross laminated timber (CLT) is the sustainable choice for the future of construction.
● CLT is made from layers of wood boards glued together at right angles, creating panels that are lightweight but extremely strong. The wood comes from sustainably managed forests, so it’s a renewable resource. Unlike concrete and steel, CLT is manufactured with little waste and pollution.
● CLT buildings go up fast. The pre-made panels snap together like Lego pieces, so construction time is cut way down. This means lower labor costs and less disruption for projects in populated areas.
● CLT structures are solid and stable. They stand up to harsh weather and natural disasters like earthquakes as well as or better than concrete and steel. CLT is also naturally insulating, so buildings stay comfortable in any climate without a huge energy bill.
● CLT can be used for walls, floors, and roofs in all types of buildings. It works for high-rises, commercial spaces, and private homes. New wood joinery techniques and wood treatments give CLT a sleek, modern look that fits any style.
● At the end of its lifespan, a CLT building can be dismantled and the wood recycled. No waste goes to the landfill. The carbon stored in the wood continues to be locked away, even in its next use.
CLT is the building material of the future. It’s sustainable, economical, and versatile. As we work to reduce pollution and fight climate change, CLT can transform the way we design and construct spaces where we live, work, and play. The age of timber has arrived!

CLT Projects Around the World

Cross laminated timber (CLT) has been used in major construction projects around the world, showing how versatile and sustainable this material can be.
● In London, the nine-story residential Murray Grove tower was completed in 2009, making it the tallest modern timber building in the UK at the time. The CLT structure went up fast, with one floor installed every three days.
● The seven-story Origine apartment building in Quebec City, Canada was finished in 2017. It’s made from locally-sourced CLT and houses 42 units. The wood helps insulate the building, reducing heating and cooling costs.
● In Norway, the 14-story Mjøstårnet tower holds the record for the world’s tallest timber building. Completed in 2019, the 280-foot tower combines CLT with glulam beams and concrete. It shows how CLT can be used even for skyscrapers.
● New Zealand’s CLT “Pavilion” at the 2010 World Expo in Shanghai, China demonstrated the material’s sustainability and beauty. The pavilion was designed to be easily disassembled and the CLT panels were reused in other buildings after the Expo.
With CLT, the possibilities seem endless. This eco-friendly material can work for homes, mid-rise apartments, offices, schools and more. CLT produces a fraction of the carbon emissions of concrete and steel, so building with it is good for the planet. It’s also cost-competitive, fire-resistant, and provides an attractive wood esthetic.
As CLT continues to gain popularity around the world, we’ll likely see many more stunning and sustainable building projects that push the limits of what can be achieved with timber. The future of green architecture looks solid - literally.

The Future of CLT: Innovation and Advancements

The future of CLT design looks bright. As the material and building techniques become more widely adopted, CLT is poised to transform sustainable construction.

Cost Savings

As CLT production increases, costs are decreasing significantly. CLT panels are also faster to install than traditional materials, reducing labor costs and construction timelines. Some estimates indicate CLT can reduce total building costs by up to 25% compared to concrete. Lower costs mean CLT could be accessible to more commercial and residential projects.

New Innovations

CLT is an ideal material for innovative building designs. Curved walls, intricate facades, and open-concept spaces are all possible with CLT. Architects are experimenting with CLT to push the boundaries of sustainable design. Some new innovations include:
● Curved CLT: Thin layers of CLT can be bent and shaped into curves for walls and roofs. Curved CLT offers new esthetic possibilities for buildings.
● CLT Tubes: CLT tubes or arches are self-supporting structures made from curved CLT. They can span large distances without interior supports.
● CLT Doors and Windows: CLT panels can be precision cut to create doors, windows, and skylights. These custom pieces are seamlessly integrated into CLT builds.
● Modular CLT: CLT modules are pre-fabricated boxes or sections that can be assembled on-site. Modular CLT speeds up construction and allows for flexible, reconfigurable spaces.

Carbon Storage

As forests regrow, CLT panels continue to store carbon absorbed by the trees. It’s estimated 1 cubic meter of CLT can store up to 1 ton of CO2. Widespread use of CLT in buildings could significantly offset carbon emissions. Some countries offer carbon credits for CLT projects to promote its environmental benefits.
The future of sustainable building is here. CLT is a high-performance, eco-friendly material that enables innovative designs, cost efficiencies and carbon storage. As CLT becomes more advanced and affordable, it will transform how we construct spaces for living, working and learning. The possibilities for this wood wonder are endless!

Conclusion

So there you have it, the basics on cross laminated timber and why it should be on your radar. This innovative building material is poised to transform construction as we know it. Not only is it environmentally friendly, helping curb deforestation and reduce emissions, but it's also cost effective and design flexible.
CLT allows architects and builders to create stunning structures that push the envelope of modern architecture. As CLT gains mainstream popularity around the world, sustainable and affordable housing may become more accessible. The future is looking bright, and it's made of wood. What an exciting time to be part of the green building movement!

Hiya there fellow pilot and redditors! Hope everyone is doing well and good!!!
I am kind of having a crisis here 😳😅😂 I am not sure which weather app to use or which is the best app to predict weather while planning flights, (PS. I do use aviation weather.gov, leidos flight service) but I am just looking for the perfect free app that gives me satellite and radar view.
Currently I use:- 1.Ventusky 2. My Radar, 3. Windy (kinda hard to interpret as it's to cluttered, imo) 4. StationWX (recently discovered but not much usability if you don't get the premium version) 5. I also use Garmin Pilot app for flying and I use the weather data supplemented to it via wifi/mobile network or by fis-b
So could you guys please suggest me some good weather apps!?
Thanks!
Ps. I'm a pvt. Pilot and Omw to IR checkride